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Cake day: August 12th, 2025

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  • That’s simply not true. If we go beyond the fact that one data point doesn’t prove everything, we can state that there is a certain chance that a cold record will occur. In fact, each year there are 365 chances for a cold or hot record to occur, since the records are for coldest / hottest [that particular day of the year]. So each June 26th is compared to all June 26ths since we started measuring.

    So that means with almost four years of no cold records, or 1377 days to be exact, there have been 1377 chances for a cold record to occur that have all been missed.

    If you look at the graphs on Wikipedia you can also clearly see that cold records are occurring less often.